GBP/USD may be poised to continue pushing higher following a couple of weeks of declines. Sterling is currently trading up softly on thin markets to kick off the new weeks, treading into the 1.3840 region ahead of European markets.
Sterling has suffered at the hands of market sentiment as of late, with pullbacks in equities and spikes in bond yields to multi-year highs sending traders head-first into safe havens at the expense of risk assets such as the British Pound.
Despite recent selling pressure on the Queen’s currency, fundamentals are beginning to look good for the UK, with Prime Minister Theresa May experiencing a bump in polling along with Brexit fears seeming to tame somewhat, even as the British Parliament and leaders within the EU continue to trade barbs back and forth. The Bank of England (BoE) is also upbeat, with a positive outlook on the UK’s economy as economic growth begins to build on itself, causing the BoE to begin hinting at interest rates in the near future.
The Kingdom has a slew of economic data on the docket for Tuesday this week, most notably being CPI data for January at 09:30 GMT. A positive uptick here will only further cement the BoE on a path towards interest rates, with some market forecasts already calling for a May rate increase.
In the near-term, Sterling still has its work cut out for it, with the recent swing low on Friday pricing in as support at 1.3784, while previous support-turned-resistance at 1.3855 will be working against bulls in early-week trading. Long-term, the Pound is setting up for a continuation of the long trend, with price currently hesitating at support from the 34 EMA, while the 200-day SMA is still decidedly bullish far below.