Saturday, April 21, 2018
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USD/CAD: Options Market Sheds CAD Bearish Bias
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  • SD/CAD sell-off stalled after head-and-shoulders breakdown.
  • But, investors don’t expect a major corrective rally, options data shows.

The sell-off in the USD/CAD from the recent high of 1.3125 seems to have run out of steam in the 1.2750 neighborhood post the head-and-shoulders bearish reversal confirmation on April 4.

However, the options market does not see a strong corrective rally. For instance, the one-month 25 delta risk reversals (CAD1MRR) gauge stands at -0.025 vs 0.075 on March 28 and 0.40 on March 15 high.

The slide in the risk reversals gauge indicates a decline in the implied volatility premium for CAD puts (fall in demand for CAD puts).

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